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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (8995) - Nairaland 33z44

Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (13157858 Views)

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EDUECO(m): 9:46am On May 10
Agbalowomeri:


Revenue is 18million and no cost of sales Lol
Nigerians go leave substance and be running after hope and be renewing the hope grin
Just leave them,they will take them from Hopeville to Hopelessville!

Consistent good or excellent dividend payment is the real determinant of a good and a sustainable business or company.

4 Likes

emmanuelewumi(m): 9:48am On May 10
nosa2:


I dont understand this


Read up on the relationship between the return on equity and price to book value.
Return on equity and the required return is used in the calculation of the justified justified Price to Book value

On NGX looking at a minimum required of 20%, for a stock to have a Price to Book Value of 1, the minimum return on equity should 20%
emmanuelewumi(m): 9:49am On May 10
Agbalowomeri:


Also depends on sector sha


And your required return
purity2all(m): 9:53am On May 10
currentprice:
Ekuu weekend o my pple

grin

Boss, any inkling from.your bedsheet?

1 Like

emmanuelewumi(m): 9:56am On May 10
Agbalowomeri:


Revenue is 18million and no cost of sales Lol
Nigerians go leave substance and be running after hope and be renewing the hope grin


I have found out that people are very emotional about the stock, so I will respect myself and not write about the stock

9 Likes

Locotrader(m): 10:06am On May 10
Imagine Loco that is known for buying junk stocks as supposed by some of our see Ellah and run away.

At least you can see a fresh breast in all Loco's stock.

As beautiful as Ellah and very mature,where is her breast?

3 Likes

nosa2(m): 10:59am On May 10
emmanuelewumi:



I have found out that people are very emotional about the stock, so I will respect myself and not write about the stock

Those who are bullish should be happy that people are bearish and accumulate while its still cheap. Those that are bearish should not care, after all their money is not on the line.

2 Likes 1 Share

KarlTom: 12:18pm On May 10
Seems we're now on breastville ๐Ÿค”

Locotrader:
Imagine Loco that is known for buying junk stocks as supposed by some of our see Ellah and run away.

At least you can see a fresh breast in all Loco's stock.

As beautiful as Ellah and very mature,where is her breast?

5 Likes

Locotrader(m): 12:48pm On May 10
KarlTom:
Seems we're now on breastville ๐Ÿค”


Be careful in quoting me on breast so you don't get banned
megawealth01: 1:14pm On May 10
nosa2:


Those who are bullish should be happy that people are bearish and accumulate while its still cheap. Those that are bearish should not care, after all their money is not on the line.

๐Ÿ˜˜
Mankind2024: 1:20pm On May 10
@ Pa Emmanuel,
You are free to submit your views on Ellah Lake. I follow the simplicity of investment. The motivation for drafting this letter was to convey to Mr Chuka Mordi that we are not naive. How could an integrated farm declare N18M revenue without specifying the source?
In my personal income filing, the taxman always seeks to understand how I arrived at profit and loss. I would have tolerated the non-transparent report if Chuka Mordi had highlighted revenue from specific sources like Telluria farm acquisition, piggery, fishery, cassava, soya beans, and rice plantation. Instead, 50% of the report focused on audio Biological and goodwill assets, which I consider intangible assets. He emphasised on ongoing new private placement without addressing our expectation on palm oil production which he previously promised would begin in Q1 2025.

Notably, financial reports from Okomu Oil and Presco don't emphasise goodwill assets like this.
The financial report lacks transparency. My concern isn't driven by capital erosion, as my 2.5M shares in Ellah Lake constitute less than 0.2% of my NGX portfolio. I'm willing to write it off until Chuka Mordi delists his company.

My findings suggest Chuka Mordi has connections with CBO Capital, Telluria Farm, and Oko Lake. He previously worked with FCMB and Union Dicon Salt. It appears he's on a mission to undermine Ellah Lake's fishery legacy, similar to his actions at Union Dicon Salt.
https://businessday.ng/interview/article/chuka-mordi-on-ellah-lakes-5-year-plan-to-becoming-a-billion-dollar-company/

https://businessday.ng/companies/article/ellah-lakes-says-on-path-of-shareholder-value-creation/


emmanuelewumi:

I have found out that people are very emotional about the stock, so I will respect myself and not write about the stock

emmaodet: 1:32pm On May 10
Agbalowomeri:


Na this man wan take over letter writing from Obasanjo

cheesy cheesy cheesy grin grin grin
zendi: 1:47pm On May 10
Those willing to swim or sink with Ellah should simply stand on this last update from the cowboy, based on which I expect news to roar into the mkt anytime from now that Ellah has started oil milling.

https://businessday.ng/companies/article/ellah-lakes-eyes-palm-oil-production-in-2025/

1 Like

emmaodet: 1:55pm On May 10
nosa2:


Ok. I dont see the relevance. This business is in the startup stage so its understandable that revenue should be nil or next to nil. How people dont see this is mind boggling. Or maybe those that do just dont post about it.

Most people here are traders and investors, not venture capitalist.
Ellah is in stage 1 of business cycle.
Agree, many start-ups fail. Infact 90% fails within 5 years
But if it scales it, a return of 10000% and more in capital invested is not unusual or uncommon to venture capitalist.
Ellah will need to raise more capital through equity or private placement which will dilute the shares one more time before profit if they get it right.
I will check their free cash flow yearly to know how much they will need to raise again.

1 Like

Locotrader(m): 2:15pm On May 10
emmaodet:


Most people here are traders and investors, not venture capitalist.
Ellah is in stage 1 of business cycle.
Agree, many start-ups fail. Infact 90% fails within 5 years
But if it scales it, a return of 10000% and more in capital invested is not unusual or uncommon to venture capitalist.
Ellah will need to raise more capital through equity or private placement which will dilute the shares one more time before profit if they get it right.
I will check their free cash flow yearly to know how much they will need to raise again.

Better protect your bald head oooo.
Some people are targeting to hit you with a big stone on it if you talk of raising fund again.

Ellah has raised funds twice in my presence as a shareholder then.

Na production we want to hear.Telluria is making money in Billions.If shareholders will dig Telluria investments in Ellah,they will be alright.

3 Likes

emmaodet: 2:24pm On May 10
nosa2:


Ok. I dont see the relevance. This business is in the startup stage so its understandable that revenue should be nil or next to nil. How people dont see this is mind boggling. Or maybe those that do just dont post about it.

Have gone through their financial report quickly and noticed they burn roughly 400m per quarter in free cash flow.
200m plus to operate the business (operating cash flow) and another roughly 200m in capital expenditure.
Plus or minus, they will be using 1b per year to run the farm pending when it will start generating meaningful revenue.
current OS is 3.86b
Cash at hand as at 31st jan, 2025 was 23m
current assets is about 25b that can be converted to cash to run the biz within a year.
Given it will take another 3 years before Ellah lake will be generating enough revenue to finance itself,
They may likely have to raise atleast 3b more to do that PROVIDED they couldn't convert their current assets to cash to do that.
That will dilute the shares about 100% more, probably seeing the price go down to #1.5/shares before experiencing price appreciation we are anticipating.
We will see how the management run the biz on quarterly basis

7 Likes 1 Share

emmaodet: 2:28pm On May 10
Locotrader:


Better protect your bald head oooo.
Some people are targeting to hit you with a big stone on it if you talk of raising fund again.

Ellah has raised funds twice in my presence as a shareholder then.

Na production we want to hear.Telluria is making money in Billions.If shareholders will dig Telluria investments in Ellah,they will be alright.

It is not about what the shareholders think or if they don't want to hear another round of capital raise.
Numbers don't lie and have explained why they will need to raise another capital again.
They only have 23m cash in bank, they spend roughly 1b per year running the farm - worker's salary, herbicides, fuel etc
so where will the money come from?
Definitely not bank since they will need to be paying back the capital and interest as soon as possible.
So the best option is equity that won't be pressuring them for capital and interest instantly.
Numbers don't lie and have done that above.

11 Likes 1 Share

Streetinvestor2: 2:39pm On May 10
emmaodet:


It is not about what the shareholders think or if they don't want to hear another round of capital raise.
Numbers don't lie and have explained why they will need to raise another capital again.
They only have 23m cash in bank, they spend roughly 1b per year running the farm - worker's salary, herbicides, fuel etc
so where will the money come from?
Definitely not bank since they will need to be paying back the capital and interest as soon as possible.
So the best option is equity that won't be pressuring them for capital and interest instantly.
Numbers don't lie and have done that above.
This one is heading to close shop be dat.I wonder how they want to raise new fund unless na strategic partner through private placement. The second option is take over from guys like presco or okumu

3 Likes 1 Share

Mankind2024: 2:42pm On May 10
Check page 8 of the report.
There is an ongoing private placement


Streetinvestor2:
This one is heading to close shop be dat.I wonder how they want to raise new fund unless na strategic partner through private placement. The second option is take over from guys like presco or okumu

SonofElElyonRet: 2:44pm On May 10
zendi:
Those willing to swim or sink with Ellah should simply stand on this last update from the cowboy, based on which I expect news to roar into the mkt anytime from now that Ellah has started oil milling.

https://businessday.ng/companies/article/ellah-lakes-eyes-palm-oil-production-in-2025/
@Agbalowomeri
@Locotrader
Locotrader(m): 2:48pm On May 10
emmaodet:


It is not about what the shareholders think or if they don't want to hear another round of capital raise.
Numbers don't lie and have explained why they will need to raise another capital again.
They only have 23m cash in bank, they spend roughly 1b per year running the farm - worker's salary, herbicides, fuel etc
so where will the money come from?
Definitely not bank since they will need to be paying back the capital and interest as soon as possible.
So the best option is equity that won't be pressuring them for capital and interest instantly.
Numbers don't lie and have done that above.

So we are expecting a dilution in the years ahead and price expected to drop to 1.50?

Bros,you are saying the truth but try and wear helmet.

4 Likes 1 Share

Locotrader(m): 2:54pm On May 10
SonofElElyonRet:

@Agbalowomeri
@Locotrader

You have a cash of 23m at the moment and you want me to believe you are starting production in 2025.
Anyway I sense raising of additional funds here.

If this talk can bring good fortunes for Ellah shareholders,my brother cash is always loaded in my stock .

Allow us to see the truth in Ellah now.The more we discuss about Ellah,the better for you and other shareholders

3 Likes

chimex38: 3:24pm On May 10
emmaodet:


Have gone through their financial report quickly and noticed they burn roughly 400m per quarter in free cash flow.
200m plus to operate the business (operating cash flow) and another roughly 200m in capital expenditure.
Plus or minus, they will be using 1b per year to run the farm pending when it will start generating meaningful revenue.
current OS is 3.86b
Cash at hand as at 31st jan, 2025 was 23m
current assets is about 25b that can be converted to cash to run the biz within a year.
Given it will take another 3 years before Ellah lake will be generating enough revenue to finance itself,
They may likely have to raise atleast 3b more to do that PROVIDED they couldn't convert their current assets to cash to do that.
That will dilute the shares about 100% more, probably seeing the price go down to #1.5/shares before experiencing price appreciation we are anticipating.
We will see how the management run the biz on quarterly basis
Merci Beaucoup..๐Ÿ™Œ

1 Like 1 Share

Locotrader(m): 3:32pm On May 10
zendi:
Those willing to swim or sink with Ellah should simply stand on this last update from the cowboy, based on which I expect news to roar into the mkt anytime from now that Ellah has started oil milling.

https://businessday.ng/companies/article/ellah-lakes-eyes-palm-oil-production-in-2025/

Forget news on Ellah for now.
Market doesn't respect Ellah news again.
Go through Ellah since 2019,na so so so news.
Market need result now.
Even if it low revenue with low profit margin,we go respond positively.

I will advice you pause,let's do our thing to drag the mgt out to explain the current situation and way forward.The more we worry,the truith will show......

I am interested in Ellah than everyone of you self.I had a hair cut in the past and I need to recover my money.

I must criticize now to get the needed result or I run without looking at back again.....

5 Likes

Emumakpo: 3:34pm On May 10
grin grin grin
Locotrader:


So we are expecting a dilution in the years ahead and price expected to drop to 1.50?

Bros,you are saying the truth but try and wear helmet.

SonofElElyonRet: 4:50pm On May 10
Locotrader:


You have a cash of 23m at the moment and you want me to believe you are starting production in 2025.
Anyway I sense raising of additional funds here.

If this talk can bring good fortunes for Ellah shareholders,my brother cash is always loaded in my stock .

Allow us to see the truth in Ellah now.The more we discuss about Ellah,the better for you and other shareholders
My point is they may not keep to deadline but work certainly is going on.. just like property developers who say completion date is December 2025 but end up completing in June 2026
I find it impossible to accept that the Calibre of people in Ellah lakes board are churning out fake news and that no progress is being made in line with revealed plans. Check the board๐Ÿ‘‡
ellahlakes.com/?page_id=356
Agbalowomeri: 5:38pm On May 10
SonofElElyonRet:

My point is they may not keep to deadline but work certainly is going on.. just like property developers who say completion date is December 2025 but end up completing in June 2026
I find it impossible to accept that the Calibre of people in Ellah lakes board are churning out fake news and that no progress is being made in line with revealed plans. Check the board๐Ÿ‘‡
ellahlakes.com/?page_id=356

Okay what about the calibar of people in Oando grin

4 Likes

SonofElElyonRet: 5:44pm On May 10
Agbalowomeri:


Okay what about the calibar of people in Oando grin
The disagreement is that they aren't doing anything and it's audio farm etc.. is Oando audio oil company? I'm not saying saying Ellah promoters are saints and you can argue that they are as bad as wale tinubu (debatable) but still doesn't mean they won't deliver.. just like it is projected that wale will ultimately deliver. Ellah investors know it's not a sprint...
megawealth01: 5:46pm On May 10
Agbalowomeri:


Okay what about the calibar of people in Oando grin

You eh grin
veecovee: 6:36pm On May 10
KarlTom:
PD is 29 May 2025 smiley

Ok thanks
cocolacec(m): 6:55pm On May 10
Conoil

1 Like

Agbalowomeri: 6:55pm On May 10
SonofElElyonRet:

The disagreement is that they aren't doing anything and it's audio farm etc.. is Oando audio oil company? I'm not saying saying Ellah promoters are saints and you can argue that they are as bad as wale tinubu (debatable) but still doesn't mean they won't deliver.. just like it is projected that wale will ultimately deliver. Ellah investors know it's not a sprint...

Yes just be ready for Wale's type forward looking statements forever

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