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The Greatest Presidential Predictor Has Made His FINAL Pick For Trump Vs. Harris - Foreign Affairs - Nairaland 596j3n

The Greatest Presidential Predictor Has Made His FINAL Pick For Trump Vs. Harris (56970 Views)

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God1000(m): 6:38pm On Nov 01, 2024
Kamala Harris will beat Donald Trump to become the first female president, the Nostradamus of presidential elections says.


The polls are tight — and many are considered fake. The betting markets reportedly are rigged. So, who is a voter to believe when searching for a prediction on who will be elected president on Nov. 5: Vice President Kamala Harris or former president Donald Trump?

Well, so-called presidential election Nostradamus who has nailed every presidential election except one since 1984, is sticking with the pick he made months ago, when the polls were against her.


Harris will beat Trump on Tuesday, said Allan Lichtman — who predicted Trump would win in 2016, when most national polls showed Hillary Clinton far ahead and that Trump would lose against Joe Biden in 2020, told USA Today.

Nothing has changed to change my prediction that I made on Sept. 5, in defiance of the polls,” Lichtman said in a YouTube video.

Lichtman, a historian at American University, predicted in September Harris would win the race. He bases his forecast on true-or-false questions — or “keys” — on the candidates and not on current polling.

Midterm Gains

“The Democrats did better than expected in 2022. But they still lost House seats, so the key is false.”

Incumbency

“Biden withdrew from the race, costing the Democrats this key. It is false. … If Biden stayed in they would have salvaged this one key. That’s all.”

Primary Contest

“The Democrats finally got smart and united overwhelmingly behind Vice President Harris, so the key is true.”

Third party

“RFK Jr. dropped out of the race and no other third-party candidate is anywhere close to the 10% polling threshold needed to turn this key. It’s true.”

Short-Term Economy

“Look, despite all the loose talk about a so-called vibecession, the economy is not in recession, so this key is true.”

Long-Term Economy

“Growth during the Biden term is far ahead of growth during the previous two , so this key is clearly true.”

Policy Change

“Reing the Paris Accords on climate change, the CHIPS bill, the infrastructure bill, the Inflation Reduction (Act) and climate change bill. Clearly, the key is true.”

Social Unrest

“There have been sporadic protests, but nothing approaching the massive sustained social unrest needed to turn this key, so it’s true. … yes, there are a lot of protesters upset with Biden’s polices in the Middle East, but now with Harris, not Biden front and center, that has dampened social unrest.”

White House Scandal

“Oh, my favorite key, the scandal key. And Republicans have been trying for years to pin a scandal on President Biden and come up empty, so the key is true. … There has to be at least some bipartisan recognition of actual corruption that implicates the president himself and not a family member, so the key remains true.”

Incumbent Charisma

“This is a very high threshold key. You have to be a once-in-a-generational, broadly inspirational candidate. Harris has not met that standard, so this key is false.”

Challenger Charisma

“Some people think Donald Trump is a god, but he only appeals to a narrow base, so that key is true.”

Lichtman said eight “keys” were “true” for Harris and were unchanged since September. Three were deemed “false” and favored Trump: White House party gained House seats in the 2022 mid-, the sitting president is running for reelection and the determination that Harris wasn’t a particularly charismatic candidate. Foreign policy failure or success were a toss up and could be pivotal.


https://www.nj.com/politics/2024/11/the-greatest-presidential-predictor-has-made-his-final-pick-for-trump-vs-harris-who-will-win.html

29 Likes 8 Shares

God1000(m): 6:38pm On Nov 01, 2024
We all know that Kamala Harris will beat Donald trump, except his delusional fans in Nigeria

This election is a fight for good over evil, knowledge over ignorance, and light over darkness

434 Likes 49 Shares

TeslaXY: 6:48pm On Nov 01, 2024
The election is just days away, even me too I will soon drop my own prediction.

21 Likes 7 Shares

odejimioflagos: 7:32pm On Nov 01, 2024
Trump is going to lose.

403 Likes 24 Shares

dgreatrock(m): 8:19pm On Nov 01, 2024
It is not such an easy call. Let's wait for the exit polls
odejimioflagos:
Trump is going to lose.

15 Likes 1 Share

OPICANTO2223: 9:05pm On Nov 01, 2024
Why are afunjarians afraid of Trump

102 Likes 9 Shares

Aaronsrod: 9:29pm On Nov 01, 2024
God1000:
Kamala Harris will beat Donald Trump to become the first female president, the Nostradamus of presidential elections says.
Lies from the pit of Hell!

It is not given to a woman to rule over a man!

God will punish America!

57 Likes 2 Shares

God1000(m): 10:02pm On Nov 01, 2024
Nlfpmod
kingbee90: 10:07pm On Nov 01, 2024
OPICANTO2223 post=13269po4419:
Why is afunjwarians afraid 9of Trump
One reason sir,
Donald Trump will definitely expose Amoda Ogunlere masking as Bola Ahmed Tinubu which is a stolen identity.

77 Likes 7 Shares

Readerr: 10:44pm On Nov 01, 2024
Trump will win mark this


I need medical attention pls assist me.

144 Likes 19 Shares

NothingDoMe: 1:17am On Nov 02, 2024
God1000:
We all know that Kamala Harris will beat Donald trump, expect his delusional fans in Nigeria

This election is a fight for good over evil, knowledge over ignorance, and light over darkness
Except.

23 Likes 4 Shares

tundegan: 5:40am On Nov 02, 2024
I hope the guy predicting Trump win is not the same one that predicted Hillary will win in 2016.

If that is the case, then his prediction is already dead on arrival.

64 Likes 1 Share

ebukal67x: 5:41am On Nov 02, 2024
The winner of the prediction game has been announced. Congratulations to Allan Lichtman.

21 Likes

tanigororo: 6:41am On Nov 02, 2024
Tooh, watching
SlavaUkraini: 9:42am On Nov 02, 2024
Readerr:
Trump will win mark this

Kamala Harris will defeat him

7 Likes 2 Shares

Shadomaan7: 10:11am On Nov 02, 2024
Trump is not just lucky this year. The Democrats are just not interested in fighting dirty with Trump this year.

Trump should just forget about the election, his case with the jury is just too much distraction.

The Democrats are just playing smart this year.

30 Likes 1 Share

hisexcellency34: 11:00am On Nov 02, 2024
I agree but truth is, is the US truly ready for a female president

9 Likes

maestroferddi: 11:01am On Nov 02, 2024
Delusional..

Your worst fear has less than 5 days to eventuate...

Trump on the cusp of victory that even the Dems can smell it...

43 Likes 7 Shares

Basiljoe: 11:03am On Nov 02, 2024
Interesting.

Personally, i prefer trump. The woke virus mindset is destroying America, but his anti- immigration policies are against African interests. 🤷🏽

I wonder what will happen to Elon musk if the democrats should win this.

12 Likes 5 Shares

Atheistan: 11:04am On Nov 02, 2024
Ok
FashionCookie(f): 11:04am On Nov 02, 2024
Some just hate Harris because, she's a woman.
Una think say na Nigeria be this?
Tueh!

14 Likes 4 Shares

Kingpele(m): 11:04am On Nov 02, 2024
Trump should winoo

11 Likes

tiswell(m): 11:04am On Nov 02, 2024
If it's not Trump,then it's a wack prediction

8 Likes 1 Share

WorkTheTalk(m): 11:04am On Nov 02, 2024
Terrorists and dictators all over the world know Kamala would be a weak leader, just like Joe Biden. With her as president, America would be weaker than what it is now.

The wish of dictators, terrorists and their sympathizers like the OP is for Kamala to win so terrorists can overrun America. Unfortunately, Nostradamus has failed this time.
Trump is the next USA president. Let's free the world of terrorism and toxic religion.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iYQNK_kEo?si=J-K3WEv7UcFU5fw-

27 Likes 6 Shares

Pojaay(m): 11:05am On Nov 02, 2024
Nostradamus or whatever he calls himself, nor be God bros. Make whoever do em homework well that day win.

15 Likes 5 Shares

dominique(f): 11:05am On Nov 02, 2024
Trump will thump the always confused, incoherent Skamala.

22 Likes 7 Shares

helinues: 11:06am On Nov 02, 2024
Toh

What I know is Donald Trump's base is shrinking

Almost 40% of the votes casted already secretly

Trump winning would boost crypto market like mad.

1 Like 1 Share

Lumig: 11:06am On Nov 02, 2024
cool
parkervero(m): 11:07am On Nov 02, 2024
Wetin concern Nigeria with the US election, i no kno

11 Likes 1 Share

tetralogyfallot(m): 11:08am On Nov 02, 2024
Xnxndn

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