NewStats: 3,264,035 , 8,182,369 topics. Date: Monday, 09 June 2025 at 11:35 AM 5b571c

bemeruca:


Its true

Preliminary details.

I'll wait for corroboration and statements from the Secret Service.

-Lord

LordAdam16:


Terrible if true.

-Lord

Not terrible you maga cultists. The rapist campaign is imploding, so creating a fake assassination attempt and shooting is on par.
The rapist ran a fake reality tv shows for 8 years, so he knows one or two about putting up an act.

Only gullible fools like you will want to change the subject,

Not today.

LordAdam16:


Preliminary details.

I'll wait for corroboration and statements from the Secret Service.

-Lord

Look at this deranged maga cultist. You people are so delirious.

LordAdam16:


Atlas Intel has A rating.

I was very pleased with the ABC poll.

First, they said they used Dem-Rep-Independent composition of 29-29-30. That's 88%. It did not explain the 12% deficit.
Maybe it's people who did not state their affiliation. Which is a pretty huge delta.
Second, the numbers are 52-46. That's 98%. 2% nationally for other candidates which is fair.
Essentially, everyone has picked a side and for Harris to get even better numbers, she has to steal voters from Trump.
On that point, the poll itself said the debate had no impact on the race. If after that debate, Kamala did not gain votes, she's toast.

Why?
Because prior to the debate, most A-rated polls said the race was tied.
If ABC, a B-rated D+aligned poll is saying the debate and Swift's endorsement did not move the needle, then the race is still tied or slightly leaning Kamala with at most 2 points.

More importantly, during the 2020 and 2016 elections, the polls at some point in the race showed a double-digit lead. Up to 13%.
The high for both Clinton and Biden was 54%. I'm saying from D-leaning polls that were inaccurate in both 2016 and 2020, the best either candidates got was 54. If ABC is saying the ceiling for Kamala is 52% barring some crazy black-swan event that makes Harris steal Trump votes; then in a free and fair election, Trump has won.
It also explains why Trump does not want another debate. It is not in his interest to tempt fate.
Coming out of that debate with negligible impact on the race is a WIN.

Furthemore, the crosstabs were interesting. The ABC poll had Trump with 41% amongst Hispanics.
I don't think there is a world in the multiverse where Trump gets 41% of the Latina vote in a D-leaning poll and loses the election.
I also think Harris is not tied with Trump with men. I also do not think Harris has a +12 lead amongst independents. This actually explains the 6+ in the poll (along with Trump with 9+ among blacks), but it just does not make sense in a "close" election. Biden edged Trump with 9+ points in 2020 among independents. But Harris is doing worse with Black Men, Hispanics, Arabs, and Whites. So who are these independents giving her 3+ points over Biden in an election where she has never had a double-digit lead in the polls.

Lastly, the poll pegs Trump at 46%. If Trump outperforms by 2+ points which is less than he's historically done, he'll get 48-49% of the vote. I don't know how he loses an election with such numbers. Because the popular vote is always weighted in favor of the Dems. California and New York are huge population centers.

To wrap up, this is a turn-out election. Harris needs to get out the women vote. I see attempts at this because most vids of Kamala ers in line at her rallies are women. Trump has done his bit. Shored up and built a larger coalition than he had in 2016 and 2020. In a free-and-fair election, he has already won. But 12 million illegals came in since 2020 and the polls aren't ing for fraud.

-Lord

Not gonna lie, you a real piece of shit

LordReed:


Dude how could she have appeared taller? Why the heck is it so easy to trick your brain?

Lordreed. How are you my friend.
The podium has been featured in the ABC whistleblower affidavit. ( It's authenticity is still not verified though?

The Harris campaign received particular accommodations,
including, but not limited to, the
providing of a podium significantly smaller than that used by Donald Trump, and assurances regarding
split-screen television views that would favorably impact Kamala Harris's appearance relative to Donald Trump.


ABC used a camera trick to make her look same size or sometimes towering over the Donald. On split screen. You understand what I was implying then ?
Kindky incorporate omega 3 in your diet, it does improve intelligence.

Trump and his campaign team are now very desperate.

SpaceX:
I would advise if you can take a step back and read what you wrote, using derogatory words won't help kamala to white House, instead you look like a man running helter-skelter. If you continue this way there is likely a higher chance of you being insane before Nov 5th. I can't believe you are human! Or are you an illegal Alien? Be honest, I promise I won't report your a$$!

That's obrigardo other handle. He blames Trump for losing a relative to COVID. You can tell when he has not taken his meds by the tone of his postings .

basilico:


That's obrigardo other handle. He blames Trump for losing a relative to COVID. You can tell when he has not taken his meds by the tone of his postings .

The dude is a l*natic.

-Lord

Rapist felon trump is a stochastic domestic terrorist.

He's employing fascist tactics of faking death threaths and assassination attempts.

I laugh in AK 47 😁😁

LordAdam16:


Preliminary details.

I'll wait for corroboration and statements from the Secret Service.

-Lord

You speak like your rectum is pushing out your nostrils.

I will bet a $1000 basilico loco was praying it was an assassination attempt on the rapist felon.

LordAdam16:


The dude is a l*natic.

-Lord

Are you scared? Type it out loud. Stop being a dickwad chucklefuck.

raumdeuter:


Smollet scammed the public by claiming 2 akKK guys attacked him

Smollet is the scammer not the 2 brothers.

And the report you quoted shows they sent to Nigeria that's a fact, so should they say he sent the money to Belgium instead?

You are not just racist you also have a very low IQ

We were discussing your fake poster of KKK rallies you posted just like the fake KKK who attacked Smollet

Why did you call the 2 Americans who attacked Smollet, Nigerian scammers?

You posted two pictures of Nigerians while you were talking about Hatians eating Dogs and Cats.
Why did you post them?
You're too stupid to even know when you are laundering racism. So focused on trying cover your lack of intelligence with childish arguments.

It's always the fuxing loserish, uneducated of Nigerians, like you who choose to be cuckolds for racist white people.
Have you ever been right about anything you've posted here?
Captain Intellectual Dishonesty.


Again here is the post. Read it slowly.

Brothers Abimbola "Bola" and Olabinjo "Ola" Osundairo, Smollett's accomplices in the act, finally broke their silence to the media about the hoax for the first time in an interview now streaming on Fox Nation.
..
"A friend of mine had sent me a screenshot of the front page of, I believe a TMZ article, that showed that Jussie had been attacked. I ran to my brother and was like, ‘Yo, mission accomplished. We did it,’" Bola recounted in the five-part series. "Now we've secured the payment of our $500 that he owes us because he only wrote us a check of [sic] $3,500, and that was the day we were supposed to leave for Nigeria ."
https://www.fox5dc.com/news/brothers-in-jussie-smollett-hoax-break-silence-say-actor-wanted-to-be-poster-child-for-activism

EnlightenedUFO:


Oh, you are just another deranged maga cultist. I thought you were different.

🤣 And you're just another far-left radical fagggot, terrorist-ing baby killing bastard, but unlike you, I didn't think you were different. I knew who you were from the moment you mentioned me. Bye, dumbass. 🤣😎

raumdeuter:


He is a POS who hates Nigerians

Someone who TAUGHT it's a hit piece to mock someone living in Nigeria for raising chicken to eat. Is suddenly mad at racist people like him mocking those who eat cat or dogs

Lol. See a dude with a high school education trying to make a point.
Look at this convoluted post. roflmao
Real talk, did you go to university?

And thanks for reminding me about Bemeruca's other life as a chickshit cleaning Naija big boy who would ball out at 20k a night hotels while eating luxurious delicacies of soup with protein. LOL. Bemeruca is a fuxing clown.

Yeah, don't give a shit that people grow food to eat, but I do like to mock people raising chickens to eat while pretending they're big boys.

COOL10:

1) The numbers in the poll look funny to you because you're yet to take off those woke, pro LGBTAJAAKAKAAK, pro late term abortion, pro communism lenses you have on. Take those off and I'm sure you'll have better clarity. 😎
2) If you like call Nate Silver's new release a poll, if you like call it a forecast; I don't really care. The fact of the matter is DEMONcrats used to always cite Nate's records. As a matter of fact, he was you people's darling until he started predicting a Trump victory. Now y'all wanna call him inaccurate? HELL NO.
3) You're talking about holes? I laugh. 🤣 You should be thinking of how to get Kamala out of the hole she's dug herself in. Americans now know how grossly incompetent she is. If the debate didn't convince them enough, the following interview definitely did. She's a horror show and will lose in November, even with the rigging.

If you use the word Demoncrat, you are an irredeemable nut.
So, it's my fault, I should have recognized the name and treated you accordingly.

EnlightenedUFO:


Not gonna lie, you a real piece of shit

Right!
And people should take notice of dot on the far right bottom of that chart.
That is the definition of an outlier.

EnlightenedUFO:


You speak like your rectum is pushing out your nostrils.

I will bet a $1000 basilico loco was praying it was an assassination attempt on the rapist felon.

You are a F**L!

One of the "persons" shooting at each other is a Secret Service agent.

Id**t. Normal people were waiting for more concrete information. You and the ret*rded dolts you used as a source were running faster than your shadows.

-Lord

budaatum:


I was making the same Kenneth Copeland connection today.

Dump's rallies are just like his church.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8xIGtqujBkY?si=OuZ8xaYL4KS1mOYu

LoLz!

basilico:


Lordreed. How are you my friend.
The podium has been featured in the ABC whistleblower affidavit. ( It's authenticity is still not verified though?

The Harris campaign received particular accommodations,
including, but not limited to, the
providing of a podium significantly smaller than that used by Donald Trump, and assurances regarding
split-screen television views that would favorably impact Kamala Harris's appearance relative to Donald Trump.


ABC used a camera trick to make her look same size or sometimes towering over the Donald. On split screen. You understand what I was implying then ?
Kindky incorporate omega 3 in your diet, it does improve intelligence.

Link to the affidavit.

LordAdam16:


Fraud is the only reason why I have not called the election for Trump.

Early voting starts this week.
Kamala Harris cannot win the 2024 election without fraud.

I was waiting to see what impact the debate had on the race.
Now that the numbers are coming out with almost no effect, Trump is coasting to the White House.
The fundamentals are in his favor.
Kamala is no Clinton, Obama, or even 2020 Biden.
She is a CA liberal and voters are still asking what her policies are more than 45 days since her coronation and at the start of early voting.

For the Harris istration to open an investigation in RFK Jr.
They're f*cked! But they're feeling very confident about the steal.

-Lord

They know the only way they can win that election is by rigging or killing him. So far, they've failed in the latter, but I'm sure they'll do all they can to accomplish the former. Their plan is to rig, risk a riot, blame it all on Trump, imprison him and then possibly, kill him, but by God Almighty's grace, all their evil plans will fail.

SpaceX:
I would advise if you can take a step back and read what you wrote, using derogatory words won't help kamala to white House, instead you look like a man running helter-skelter. If you continue this way there is likely a higher chance of you being insane before Nov 5th. I can't believe you are human! Or are you an illegal Alien? Be honest, I promise I won't report your a$$!

Dude said man running helter-skelter.
You clearly don't own a mirror.

LordAdam16:


You are a F**L!

One of the "persons" shooting at each other is a Secret Service agent.

Id**t. Normal people were waiting for more concrete information. You and the ret*rded dolts you used as a source were running faster than your shadows.

-Lord

Don't be a scared duck, say out loud what you want to say to me. Don't be a scaredy Liddle bitch.

COOL10:


They know the only way they can win that election is by rigging or killing him. So far, they've failed in the latter, but I'm sure they'll do all they can to accomplish the former. Their plan is to rig, risk a riot, blame it all on Trump, imprison him and then possibly, kill him, but by God Almighty's grace, all their evil plans will fail.

You maga cultists are the dumbest people on earth.

So what about the schools shutting down because of bomb threats in Ohio, what about the hospitals on lockdown, what about haitian families with broken glass and acid rains on their cars, what about campuses now doing virtual classes because of bomb and shooting threats due to the rapist felon and shady vance's racist rhetoric?

You won't pray for them right? But you can for the stochastic domestic terrorist.

Dumb, dumb, dumb fool.

IjeBos:


If you use the word Demoncrat, you are an irredeemable nut.
So, it's my fault, I should have recognized the name and treated you accordingly.

Y'all are DEMONS. Stop denying your identity. . You've made it obvious for all to see.


You're all demons from the pits of hell. Not only are y'all demons, y'all are also extremely demented, so not only will I be calling y'all DEMONcrats, henceforth, I'll also be calling y'all DEMENTOcrats. 😂🤣


Check your profile and you'll see that you've been the one quoting me all this while. I don't think I've ever quoted any of your single posts. I only decided to reply your mention today because I thought you were at least half sensible. Apparently I was wrong.



Now do me a favour and ignore my posts henceforth, just like I was ignoring yours before you mentioned me. 😎 C'est fini

The only poll that matters is Pennsylvania, that is what the election will come down to

Traditionally, GOP outperform poll numbers in Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, North Carolina

While they underperform their poll numbers in Arizona and Pennsylvania (see Kari-Lake vs Gallego and Oz vs Fetterman)

Whoever takes Pennsylvania will take the election.

Kamala will take Michigan and Wisconsin but not by much. Trump will take Georgia, Nevada and NC. Arizona and Pennsylvania are toss ups, and Pennsylvania is the one that carries weight.

COOL10:



Y'all are DEMONS. Stop denying your identity. . You've made it obvious for all to see.

You're all demons from the pits of hell. Not only are y'all demons, y'all are also extremely demented, so not only will I be calling y'all DEMONcrats, henceforth, I'll also be calling y'all DEMENTOcrats. 😂🤣

Check your profile and you'll see that you've been the one quoting me all this while. I don't think I've ever quoted any of your single posts. I only decided to reply your mention today because I thought you were at least half sensible. Apparently I was wrong.
Now do me a favour and ignore my posts henceforth, just like I was ignoring yours before you mentioned me. 😎 C'est fini

Calling people demons? You are...


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1GdcgUnO4_8&t=9s

EnlightenedUFO:


You maga cultists are the dumbest people on earth.

So what about the schools shutting down because of bomb threats in Ohio, what about the hospitals on lockdown, what about haitian families with broken glass and acid rains on their cars, what about campuses now doing virtual classes because of bomb and shooting threats due to the rapist felon and shady vance's racist rhetoric?

You won't pray for them right? But you can for the stochastic domestic terrorist.

Dumb, dumb, dumb fool.

🤣🤣🤣🤣

You left the reply I gave to your mention, decided to mention my reply to someone else's comment, and then started rambling on something that has absolutely no connection to the topic of discourse, yet you call me the dumb one? 🤦🏾‍♂️🤦🏾‍♂️🤣🤣🤣


Here's a piece of paper 📄. Use it to wipe that disgusting drool off your face.

Ibime:
The only poll that matters is Pennsylvania, that is what the election will come down to

Traditionally, GOP outperform poll numbers in Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, North Carolina

While they underperform their poll numbers in Arizona and Pennsylvania (see Kari-Lake vs Gallego and Oz vs Fetterman)

Whoever takes Pennsylvania will take the election.

Kamala will take Michigan and Wisconsin but not by much. Trump will take Georgia, Nevada and NC. Arizona and Pennsylvania are toss ups, and Pennsylvania is the one that carries weight.

Michigan and Wisconsin are difficult to poll.
Wisconsin is more rural.
So polls almost tend to be off.

Between Kamala and Trump this cycle, averages in both states have been low.
She is up 0.7+ in Michigan. Up 1.2+ in Wisconsin. That's according to the R Average.
{At this point in 2016, Clinton was up 5.6+ in Michigan. Biden was up 4.8+)
If the election were held today, those will not be accurate.
Trump will almost certainly win those states if the R average holds as of today.

Amongst Muslim Americans in Michigan, Kamala is trailing Jill Stein and Donald Trump according to the latest poll.
That did not happen in 2020.
https://www.michiganpublic.org/politics-government/2024-09-09/a-new-poll-finds-a-surprising-presidential-choice-for-muslim-american-voters-in-michigan

Something has to go bad for Trump catastrophically for Kamala to be a clear favorite to win the election.

I don't see how Arizona could go for Harris, again without fraud.
It is a border state.
Immigration is a top issue. It cannot be a top issue in PA and not consume voters attention in Arizona.

This is why Nate Silver had Trump up 63+ in probability before the debate.
Because historically, no democrat wants to be up 0.1% on average in PA against Trump in September.

-Lord

LordAdam16:


Michigan and Wisconsin are difficult to poll.
Wisconsin is more rural.
So polls almost tend to be off.

Between Kamala and Trump this cycle, averages in both states have been low.
She is up 0.7+ in Michigan. Up 1.2+ in Wisconsin. That's according to the R Average.
{At this point in 2016, Clinton was up 5.6+ in Michigan. Biden was up 4.8+)
If the election were held today, those will not be accurate.
Trump will almost certainly win those states if the R average holds as of today.

Amongst Muslim Americans in Michigan, Kamala is trailing Jill Stein and Donald Trump according to the latest poll.
That did not happen in 2020.
https://www.michiganpublic.org/politics-government/2024-09-09/a-new-poll-finds-a-surprising-presidential-choice-for-muslim-american-voters-in-michigan

Something has to go bad for Trump catastrophically for Kamala to be a clear favorite to win the election.

I don't see how Arizona could go for Harris, again without fraud.
It is a border state.
Immigration is a top issue. It cannot be a top issue in PA and not consume voters attention in Arizona.

This is why Nate Silver had Trump up 63+ in probability before the debate.
Because historically, no democrat wants to be up 0.1% on average in PA against Trump in September.

-Lord

Leave the fraud talks. Why sprinkle a dose of insanity into a decent analysis.

I believe polls had adjusted their weighting by 2022 when they had Dr Oz and Kari-Lake slightly up, only for them to lose.

Ibime:
The only poll that matters is Pennsylvania, that is what the election will come down to

Traditionally, GOP outperform poll numbers in Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Wisconsin, North Carolina

While they underperform their poll numbers in Arizona and Pennsylvania (see Kari-Lake vs Gallego and Oz vs Fetterman)

Whoever takes Pennsylvania will take the election.

Kamala will take Michigan and Wisconsin but not by much. Trump will take Georgia, Nevada and NC. Arizona and Pennsylvania are toss ups, and Pennsylvania is the one that carries weight.

Pollsters this cycle said they have tried to take into the fact that the GOP outperformed the poll numbers in 2020.
Some good reads as to some of the methods they've been using.
As proof, the claim is that polling was generally more accurate in 2022.
But with Trump and Abortion who knows until election day.

Georgia is tough. Kemp won in 2022 but so did Warnock. If black people turn out, Kamala could pull it out.
And NC is another state that Trump could lose. Obama also won that. And it has been attracting a lot of young educated people in recent years. Not Trump's demographic.
But the woman card adds another dimension to all these races.

Lib/Dems usually say Conservatives are dangerous but that's the projection.

Twice they tried to assassinate trump

Erik Prince, founder of the private security firm Blackwater, calls on Florida Governor Ron DeSantis to immediately assume control of the investigation into the second Trump assassination attempt.

He adds, “The Feds have dropped the ball thoroughly on Butler PA. Time for Florida to save the day…”

They'll be wondering what kind of person is this 😂😂