NewStats: 3,264,410 , 8,183,644 topics. Date: Tuesday, 10 June 2025 at 11:22 PM 6k1ch6382y |
American Politics Thread: Trump Is The 47th President! (2548231 Views)
raumdeuter: 4:01pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: This is a prime example. Smollet is the actual scammer, but you conveniently left him out. The person who tried to con the public was Smollet but you didnt call him the scammer, it was the 2 brothers that you called the Nigerians scammers. As part of your Nigerian hatred. Who did the 2 brothers on the right scam? and BTW they are Americans "We are not racist. We are not homophobic and we are not anti-Trump. We were born and raised in Chicago and are American citizens," Osundairo brothers said in a statement to CBS Chicago WBBM that has been confirmed by ABC News. The Osundairo brothers are Americans, born in Chicago, raised in Chicago. But you had to call them Nigerians as part of your hatred towards Nigeria. They are Americans as Americans can be Lets assume here that it was Trump who called black people born and raised in the US, Nigerians what would you have called him? 2 Likes |
Obrigardo: 4:08pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
More Americans believe VP Harris will defeat the rapist trump 42% to 33%. Rapist trump is gonna die in jail. |
COOL10(m): 4:10pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
If Kamala won the debate, then why is Trump leading in the post-debate polls and even overtaking her in areas in which he trailed pre-debate? ![]() Here's a poll released few hours ago by Atlas Intel, a pollster that was rated as the most accurate in the 2020 election. DEMONcrats are furious because of this. 🤣😂 1 Like |
IjeBos(m): 4:13pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
raumdeuter: You do this low IQ thing, I beat you and your LOW IQ down, you run away for a while and then try again. how it ended for you last time. Don't worry, I put the post up as a reminder. This is why you sound so uneducated when you do post, you value stroking your Ego by gathering with other equally uneducated sounding people instead of confronting why most of the things you say are stupid. It's a weakness You, Bemeruca, Basilico and now LordAdam16 share. This view that it is an US/WE vs them battle (LordAdam16 uses that WE term all the time as if he ever had a vote in the US election). So you must defend your side at all costs. Even when it means spending days defending clear misinformation or siding with the KKK to otherize black immigrants, Step away from that BS. "For what shall it profit a man, if he gain the whole world, and suffer the loss of his soul?" And in this case, I'm not even sure what you're gaining. 1 Like |
EnlightenedUFO: 4:14pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10: What rating does this Atlas Intel have? I can show you ABC/Ipsos poll having Harris leading by 6 Points! ABC/Ipsos is B rating!
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EnlightenedUFO: 4:16pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
Obrigardo: Yea, true! 1 Like |
bemeruca: 4:18pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: Do you sit under a tree to tell this story to imaginary kids? 😂😂🤡🤡🤡🤡 I beat you, you run away 🤣🤣 2 Likes |
bemeruca: 4:22pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10: The idiot still crams the crap she spew from the debate. How will you improve the economy: I grew up in Punjab with my little sister My mom taught me this and that There were construction men making noise in our street Opportunity economy 😂😂😂😂 2 Likes 1 Share |
bemeruca: 4:26pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
raumdeuter: I said the idiot ijebos is worse to Nigerians. Just like don lemon, he spews racist crap to both blacks and white but he a gay Nigerian man almost 50 years old is sleeping with white men in Boston 1 Like |
IjeBos(m): 4:26pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10: Definitely an outlier poll and the underlying data is sketchy. The Biggest is the Reproductive Rights number. Reproductive Rights, it has Kamala up +2 ![]() ![]() That's nonsense given every other election post Roe v. Wade. Others Environmental Protection, Kamala up +6 Save Democracy, Trump up +4 Seems the poll over sampled conservatives esp conservative woman. For polls that look like outliers like this, you should take a second and look at the actual data.
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IjeBos(m): 4:30pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
bemeruca: You seem to be still struggling with verb tense. |
bemeruca: 4:32pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: I left it there for you. You will be doing this more often. 😂 |
bemeruca: 4:34pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: Hey jobless dude, you see the bold? But I am not jobless like you. this is to show you are a clown You know why I am calling you my author correct write? 1 Like |
COOL10(m): 4:34pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
EnlightenedUFO: Take a look at the picture below. You'll clearly see that Ipsos had an average error of +4.6, ABC/Washington Post had an average error of +5.5 and Atlas Intel had an average error of +2.2. This makes Atlas Intel the best pollster of the 2020 election. When you're done looking at all the averages, take a look at the bottom of the picture, and you'll see that this compilation was done by FIVETHIRTYEIGHT, a company owned by ABC News. ABC rated themselves below Atlas Intel. You probably should too. ![]() 2 Likes |
IjeBos(m): 4:38pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
raumdeuter: Because that's what the image wants to portray. It wanted to portray two Nigerian scammers(as Nigerians are portrayed in US movies) to reinforce the image that Smollett was running a hoax. I followed the story. Everytime they mentioned them they mentioned Nigeria. It pissed me off. Brothers Abimbola "Bola" and Olabinjo "Ola" Osundairo, Smollett's accomplices in the act, finally broke their silence to the media about the hoax for the first time in an interview now streaming on Fox Nation. And here is a picture of them, while we are discussing immigrants eating dogs and cats. I wonder why that is. So, ask yourself why you posted that picture instead a pic of just Jessie Smollet. |
IjeBos(m): 4:42pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10: Fam, that is all basic elementary shit. I asked you to open the poll and actually read it, just not the top numbers. And you here repeating basic shit. Defend the crosstabs. Does Harris being up on +2 on Reproductive Rights make sense to you? Good pollsters make mistakes. |
bemeruca: 4:42pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: 😂😂🤡🤡🤡 Author correct is not working for you 😜🤡 1 Like |
IjeBos(m): 4:50pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
bemeruca: Yes, I type a mile a minute. And I let autocorrect fix some things and then hit send. Autocorrect may make some mistakes. And sometimes in the mist of typing so fast, I miss a word. I usually don't question people for clear post mistakes. Your mistakes aren't that. You don't understand how to conjugate basic verbs. And worse, people type how they think. You were thinking in your mind. "Do you seat under a tree" That means you think in poor English. Which means you speak in poor English as well. |
COOL10(m): 4:58pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: LMFAO, Oh so Atlas Intel is now an outlier poll because it's predicting Trump to win? You people are hilarious. 🤣. Your coping mechanisms are very laughable. Were they an outlier poll when they predicted Biden to win in 2020? I'm 100% sure you won't have considered them an outlier poll if they had said Kamala was in the lead. As a matter of fact, you would have referenced them and their history of being very accurate. Would you call Nate Silver's poll sketchy too? That's a darling of the DEMONcrat party, who's now predicting Trump to win the electoral college. I'll post it below. I know it's really hard for you people to come to with the fact that despite everything y'all have thrown at Trump, he's still alive, kicking and inevitably winning. Take heart, you hear 🤣 2 Likes |
bemeruca: 5:09pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: You cant help yourself 😂😂😂 falls for rge bait every time. Hahahaha My author correct 😂 1 Like |
IjeBos(m): 5:10pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10:1.) It's an outlier poll because that's what the word outlier means. You can be an outlier poll and still be accurate. The numbers in this poll look funny. 2.) That Silver image you posted isn't a poll. It is a probability forecast. I'm sure you'll try to argue that as well. 3.) Let it go, you're digging a deeper hole for yourself. I told you how to make your point. Argue you think the underlying data is representative. |
COOL10(m): 5:11pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
bemeruca: I watched that interview and laughed my ass off 🤣. That woman doesn't know anything. I don't think I've ever seen anyone evade questions like she does. Simple question: What are your specific plans to reduce high prices and make life more affordable for the people? Instead of answering the question, she started telling the same story she told during the debate. She even talked about living around people who loved their lawns. ARE YOU FREAKING KIDDING ME? LAWNS? WHO GIVES A FUCCK ABOUT LAWNS? Now we know why the DEMONcrats hid her for 45 days. Now we know why they've been preventing her from having solo interviews. She's incompetent, always sounds drunk and clearly has nothing upstairs. I'm glad the Independents are now beginning to see her for who she truly is. 3 Likes |
EnlightenedUFO: 5:11pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10: Most times when i drop these polls i always add a disclaimer to it - you can go back my posts if you have the time and see it. We could argue all day and i'll show you five top rated polls having Harris on top of the rapist felon trump but the most important thing you need to know is this - Polls are just sentiments of a subsect of polled people (people we don't know their political leanings) but what matters is the majority of voters particularly in the swing states - which Harris is leading. If we take a look at the reality on ground, the rapist felon is bleeding republican endorsements. And He had 20% republican protest votes particularly from Nikki haley voters. I'm seeing the surge of enthusiasm in red places like the villages in florida, wilkes barre in pennsylvania, in North carolina and a flurry of old-school die-hard republicans standing for Harris, that President Biden didn't have yet he walloped the rapist felon. So bro, we can arm chair punditry and post competing polls, but there is really no path for the traitor trump who tried to overthrow the election he lost. And did you see the Selzer Iowa polls just released? Did you take that into ? In reddest Iowa for that matter? I tend to focus on the reality with the real voters on ground and not some online polls made by competing pollsters, that doesn't mean they don't matter though, but lest we be reminded by maga cultists that Clinton was way ahead of the felon trump a week before 2016 general election. |
IjeBos(m): 5:12pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
bemeruca: You would have to know how to properly conjugate verbs, in order to pretend you are faking it. You don't know how. Give it a rest. 1 Like |
LordAdam16: 5:15pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
EnlightenedUFO: Atlas Intel has A rating. I was very pleased with the ABC poll. First, they said they used Dem-Rep-Independent composition of 29-29-30. That's 88%. It did not explain the 12% deficit. Maybe it's people who did not state their affiliation. Which is a pretty huge delta. Second, the numbers are 52-46. That's 98%. 2% nationally for other candidates which is fair. Essentially, everyone has picked a side and for Harris to get even better numbers, she has to steal voters from Trump. On that point, the poll itself said the debate had no impact on the race. If after that debate, Kamala did not gain votes, she's toast. Why? Because prior to the debate, most A-rated polls said the race was tied. If ABC, a B-rated D+aligned poll is saying the debate and Swift's endorsement did not move the needle, then the race is still tied or slightly leaning Kamala with at most 2 points. More importantly, during the 2020 and 2016 elections, the polls at some point in the race showed a double-digit lead. Up to 13%. The high for both Clinton and Biden was 54%. I'm saying from D-leaning polls that were inaccurate in both 2016 and 2020, the best either candidates got was 54. If ABC is saying the ceiling for Kamala is 52% barring some crazy black-swan event that makes Harris steal Trump votes; then in a free and fair election, Trump has won. It also explains why Trump does not want another debate. It is not in his interest to tempt fate. Coming out of that debate with negligible impact on the race is a WIN. Furthemore, the crosstabs were interesting. The ABC poll had Trump with 41% amongst Hispanics. I don't think there is a world in the multiverse where Trump gets 41% of the Latina vote in a D-leaning poll and loses the election. I also think Harris is not tied with Trump with men. I also do not think Harris has a +12 lead amongst independents. This actually explains the 6+ in the poll (along with Trump with 9+ among blacks), but it just does not make sense in a "close" election. Biden edged Trump with 9+ points in 2020 among independents. But Harris is doing worse with Black Men, Hispanics, Arabs, and Whites. So who are these independents giving her 3+ points over Biden in an election where she has never had a double-digit lead in the polls. Lastly, the poll pegs Trump at 46%. If Trump outperforms by 2+ points which is less than he's historically done, he'll get 48-49% of the vote. I don't know how he loses an election with such numbers. Because the popular vote is always weighted in favor of the Dems. California and New York are huge population centers. To wrap up, this is a turn-out election. Harris needs to get out the women vote. I see attempts at this because most vids of Kamala ers in line at her rallies are women. Trump has done his bit. Shored up and built a larger coalition than he had in 2016 and 2020. In a free-and-fair election, he has already won. But 12 million illegals came in since 2020 and the polls aren't ing for fraud. -Lord 2 Likes 1 Share |
IjeBos(m): 5:18pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10: And since you mentioned 538. I'm not sure you are aware of this. But every dot in their main poll is a poll. Hence the term poll of polls. The dots that are way above or way below the clusters would be outliers. They may in fact turn out to be correct in the end of the day. But still statistical outliers. 1 Like |
EnlightenedUFO: 5:21pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
LordAdam16: Revert back to my response to cool10. We can debate polls all day but your rapist felon overlord has no path to the presidency in actual reality. |
bemeruca: 5:22pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: I don't want to know how to conjugate verbs ![]()
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LordAdam16: 5:26pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
raumdeuter: He is racist filth. -Lord 1 Like |
COOL10(m): 5:31pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
IjeBos: 1) The numbers in the poll look funny to you because you're yet to take off those woke, pro LGBTAJAAKAKAAK, pro late term abortion, pro communism lenses you have on. Take those off and I'm sure you'll have better clarity. 😎 2) If you like call Nate Silver's new release a poll, if you like call it a forecast; I don't really care. The fact of the matter is DEMONcrats used to always cite Nate's records. As a matter of fact, he was you people's darling until he started predicting a Trump victory. Now y'all wanna call him inaccurate? HELL NO. 3) You're talking about holes? I laugh. 🤣 You should be thinking of how to get Kamala out of the hole she's dug herself in. Americans now know how grossly incompetent she is. If the debate didn't convince them enough, the following interview definitely did. She's a horror show and will lose in November, even with the rigging. 1 Like |
LordAdam16: 5:41pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10: Even that same poll they're citing confirmed that voters think she is too liberal and Trump is better on economy and immigration. It was easier to vote against Trump in 2020 during a Pandemic that had killed 200K people and brought a recession. Now they're asking swing states voters to vote for a candidate who is too liberal and is worse on the economy and immigration while pocket-squeezing inflation is up double digits and there is a migrant crisis. The Atlas Intel poll is a ray of sunshine but I wish they conducted more polls. -Lord 2 Likes |
LordReed(m): 5:41pm On Sep 15, 2024 |
COOL10: Most accurate with a 71% successful call rate? Something is out of whack there. |
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